Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1.986051 2.277420 2.599233 2.981459 3.423632 3.919745 4.519536
2025-06-01 1.547773 1.939493 2.414175 3.033680 3.823780 4.801626 6.109635
2025-06-08 1.317702 1.753203 2.315204 3.097580 4.164963 5.579424 7.611090
2025-06-15 1.140228 1.592049 2.205487 3.105478 4.402911 6.221743 8.993203
2025-06-22 0.984976 1.432638 2.067217 3.040910 4.512643 6.678523 10.152656
2025-06-29 0.870043 1.312190 1.963457 3.003611 4.644070 7.166421 11.405288
2025-07-06 0.770431 1.200362 1.855851 2.941320 4.720516 7.567576 12.560582
2025-07-13 0.735861 1.183320 1.888834 3.099234 5.159734 8.589274 14.863423
2025-07-20 0.674531 1.115709 1.832510 3.101943 5.337847 9.194075 16.524824
2025-07-27 0.638476 1.085179 1.832305 3.196818 5.681221 10.117475 18.874409
2025-08-03 0.591465 1.030610 1.784887 3.202048 5.862525 10.768529 20.797922
2025-08-10 0.547338 0.976304 1.731779 3.189710 6.007307 11.364463 22.688532
2025-08-17 0.490057 0.897263 1.634773 3.101424 6.029939 11.793658 24.447805
2025-08-24 0.456649 0.859527 1.611181 3.154496 6.345408 12.862366 27.766203
2025-08-31 0.428856 0.828750 1.596272 3.221154 6.695191 14.048345 31.543047
2025-09-07 0.397649 0.787496 1.555743 3.229383 6.921932 15.004803 34.968657
2025-09-14 0.362288 0.733816 1.483993 3.162089 6.974000 15.583307 37.603850
2025-09-21 0.333627 0.690682 1.428861 3.123217 7.083212 16.305294 40.718246
2025-09-28 0.305749 0.646143 1.365749 3.058301 7.122555 16.867972 43.529155
2025-10-05 0.299488 0.647421 1.401272 3.222875 7.730181 18.894795 50.581414
2025-10-12 0.281026 0.619748 1.369719 3.225699 7.941801 19.965968 55.229962
2025-10-19 0.271041 0.610089 1.377688 3.324585 8.409539 21.768240 62.306468
2025-10-26 0.255472 0.585900 1.349384 3.330036 8.635610 22.964419 67.843234